Vitalik Buterin Sees 60% Chance SNARKs, FHE, and iO Reach Sub-10x

TLDR: Vitalik Buterin puts the odds of SNARKs, FHE and iO reaching sub-10x computing overhead at 60% overall. SNARKs are the likeliest to reach single-digit overhead by 2030, but no deadline applies to all three tools. Buterin assigns a 33% chance that SNARKs, FHE and iO eventually approach 1+ε overhead in real-world use. Lower-cost SNARKs [...]

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