Quarter-Point Hike Leads Polymarket’s September Fed Pricing at 62%
Polymarket Fed rates pricing shows a 62% chance of a quarter-point hike on September 16, with no change at 39% and other outcomes...
Trump Crypto: Kevin Hassett Coinbase Stake Raises Conflict of Interest Concerns
Kevin Hassett's Coinbase stake was valued at up to $5 million as he oversaw Trump's crypto policy, raising questions about his rec...
Ben Gurion Stays Open as Israel Airspace Risk Rises
Israel airspace faces heightened risk, but Polymarket signals do not confirm a closure as EASA caution remains in force through Se...
CLARITY Act Sets Agency Roles, Leaves Back-Office Work Open
The CLARITY Act would divide SEC and CFTC duties, but firms would still face data, reconciliation and scalability challenges.The...
Coinbase CLARITY Act: Armstrong Expects 60+ Votes Despite Kalshi 22% Odds
Brian Armstrong predicts 60-plus Senate votes for the CLARITY Act, but Kalshi traders give that outcome just a 22% chance on Septe...
California Governor Odds: Becerra Leads as Primary Day Nears
The California governor prediction market favored Xavier Becerra before voting, with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer also in contentio...
Clarity Act Uncertainty Keeps DeFi’s Bigger Market Bet on Hold
The CLARITY Act could expand DeFi into tokenized equity and bond markets, but Senate uncertainty is keeping institutional capital...
Shutdown Odds Sink, but December Still Hangs Over Bitcoin
Kalshi shutdown odds have fallen sharply, but a December funding cliff could keep fiscal risk and Bitcoin volatility in play.The...