2 hours ago

How Polymarket Outsmarted the Nobel Committee and Predicted the Peace Prize Hours Early

TLDR: Polymarket traders spotted the Nobel Peace Prize winner nearly 11 hours before the official reveal. The Nobel Committee’s announcement came long after Polymarket traders had already priced in the winner. Machado’s victory leaked through open crypto betting markets before any mainstream outlet reported it. The prediction market saw prices jump from $0.08 to $1.00, [...]

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