Jul 26, 2026
CFTC Tightens Event Contract Filing Rules as Prediction Markets Expand
RegulationCFTCCommodity Exchange ActElection MarketsEvent ContractsMarket OversightPrediction MarketsRegulation 40.2Self-CertificationSettlement RiskSports Contracts
TLDR: CFTC guidance limits broad template filings that combine contracts with different settlement methods or risks. Regulation 40.2 still permits self-certification, but exchanges must submit detailed terms and legal analysis. Related contracts may share one filing only when pricing sources, formulas, procedures and payouts match. Monthly prediction-market volume rose from below $5 billion to about [...]
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