Feb 02, 2026
Bitcoin Below Key Cost Basis: Are We Shifting into Extreme Bearish Market Regime?
Bitcoinaccumulationbearish marketbitcoincryptoquantmarket regimemedium-term holdersrealized priceUTXO analysis
TLDR: Bitcoin trading below 12-18 month holder realized price historically precedes extended bearish phases Medium-term holder accumulation rate decelerates despite positive balance changes signaling weak conviction Negative unrealized profitability combined with stable cost basis creates overhead resistance for rallies Market structure favors consolidation and downside risk until price reclaims key realized price levels Bitcoin’s [...]
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