Probability of December interest rate cut falls below 50%

Nearly 67% of investors forecast an interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December when polled during the first week of November.

Only 45.9% of investors anticipate an interest rate cut at the next US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December, amid declining market sentiment and a downturn in the cryptocurrency market.

The odds of a 25 basis point (BPS) interest rate cut in December were nearly 67% on Nov. 7, according to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group.

In September, several banking institutions forecast at least two interest rate cuts in 2025, with market analysts at investment banking company Goldman Sachs and banking giant Citigroup each projecting three 25 BPS cuts in 2025.

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