Prediction markets will scale as far as their resolution infrastructure allows

Prediction market volume scales every month, as resolution infrastructure becomes a bottleneck. Opaque outcomes drive capital to headline markets only.

Opinion by: David Azubike, lead analyst at Blocksquare

Prediction markets are no longer an experimental corner of crypto. Data now shows something durable: a financial category with sustained volume, diversified participation and increasing institutional attention. Prediction markets are emerging as a new “arbitrage arena” for crypto traders.

Monthly notional volume in prediction markets scaled to more than $13 billion by late 2025 from less than $100 million in early 2024 as markets diversified across verticals, according to a joint research report from Dune and Keyrock. 

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