Jan 25, 2026
Polymarket Predicts 77% Chance of US Government Shutdown This January
TLDR: Polymarket’s odds now show a 77% chance of a US government shutdown by January’s end, a 67% rise in 24 hours. Senator Schumer’s refusal to vote on the DHS funding sparks fears of a prolonged shutdown and regulatory delay. Trump’s prediction of a ‘Democrat shutdown’ fuels growing uncertainty about the timeline for the CLARITY [...]
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